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This "Small Print!" by Charles B. Kramer, Attorney
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*END*THE
SMALL PRINT! FOR PUBLIC DOMAIN
ETEXTS*Ver.04.29.93*END*
A Few Words About These United States Population Statistics.
All figures listed below for years before 1992 are US Census Bureau
figures as per the source files. Where there were an assortment of
figures for a specific year, we averaged them. 1992 was an estimate.
Years after 1992 are our estimates on a predicted growth rate of 1%, as
the average growth rate of all the averaged figures from 1972-1992 was
exactly 1.00%.
The raw data from which we took these figures is appended as footnote
#2. All dates not given are presumed to be July 1, as that is the official
date given by the US Census Bureaus, over the years, except where
otherwise noted. Dates are for footnoted figures only.
Why and How You Should Use These Tables
Given the rapid inflation that took place sometimes over the past few
decades, you might be aware that if a report said a certain monetary
figure was up 10% during one decade, it was prudent to check to see if
the figures took the inflationary trends into account to tell you the
actual value a figure in one year might represent would actually be less
than figures which counted more value in lesser numbers of dollars in
the previous decade.
Thus you would be wise to consult a table of Price Indices-- such as the
file "price10.txt" released in 1993, before your evaluation of such
figures is complete.
The same is true of population figures, which are going up a certain
amount every year, in a very similar manner to those price index
figures, only not quite as fast, in most cases.
What Started This Report
Very recently, there was a report issued on education, which stated
something on the order of people in the United States are receiving
10% more of a certain level of education, than they were a decade
before.
The years and the exact figures have been altered to protect those
responsible from embarrassment.
For example: let us presume the report stated:
Graduation From
Grade School was up 5% from 1981 to 1991.
You would think from this report that the average kid had 5% greater
chances of getting a Grade School Diploma in 91 than in 81. . .but. . .it
turns out that it was just the opposite because the population was
1.097352 times larger in 91, than it had been in 1981. . .which is about
10% larger, thus in a "real education" sense, in the same way the
monetary reports are given in "real dollars" or "constant dollars,"
education was actually moving in just the opposite direction, and thus
was DOWN about 5% instead of UP about 5% from 1981 to 1991.
Remember, these were not from years quoted in the report and the
figures were not exactly 5% or 10% respectively, nor the diploma
referred to was not a Grade School Diploma, but they are pretty close
to being exact, in terms of the percentages and years; much closer than
you might expect.
***Here is a footnote explanation of how to be more exact***
To be exact, one would have to do a demographic analysis, of the
specific portions of the population of the ages at which such diplomas
were conferred, as it would be irrelevant from a realistic point of view
to measure the population on whole bases if you were only concerned
with people who were of the age to receive Kindergarten Diplomas
between 1981 and 1991-- or whatever ages and a whatever kind of
diploma. Thus these figures are not as precise as they could be, but still
given the trends of population and education, it is obvious that a trend
in one is not following the direction of the other. A further look at the
US Census figures averaged below will be sufficient to inform you that
previous generations that were measured had even greater growth rates
than 10%, so that the number of people getting any specific degrees or
diplomas in the following decades should have been going up even
more.
***
In the tables below, the first line shows the Base Year: or "The Year In
Question" labeled "YEAR: ####" so if you want a chart based on 1980
as the base year, you simply search/find "YEAR: 1980" to find the
relevant portions.
Once you have located the table for "YEAR: ####" you can see
comparisons of that year to any other year by looking up the year you
wish to compare to in the left column.
The SAMPLE comparison is 1991, presented below.
You will note a ten year comparison looks like:
year/1991 1991/year Growth%
1981 0.911285 1.097352 0.9031%
This