didn't think so. Granted, Linus is a damn fine hacker. How many of us could engineer
an entire production-quality operating system kernel from scratch? But Linux didn't
represent any awesome conceptual leap forward. Linus is not (or at least, not yet) an
innovative genius of design in the way that, say, Richard Stallman or James Gosling (of
NeWS and Java) are. Rather, Linus seems to me to be a genius of engineering and
implementation, with a sixth sense for avoiding bugs and development dead-ends and a
true knack for finding the minimum-effort path from point A to point B. Indeed, the
whole design of Linux breathes this quality and mirrors Linus's essentially conservative
and simplifying design approach.
So, if rapid releases and leveraging the Internet medium to the hilt were not accidents but
integral parts of Linus's engineering-genius insight into the minimum-effort path, what
was he maximizing? What was he cranking out of the machinery?
Put that way, the question answers itself. Linus was keeping his hacker/users constantly
stimulated and rewarded-stimulated by the prospect of having an ego-satisfying piece of
the action, rewarded by the sight of constant (even daily) improvement in their work.
Linus was directly aiming to maximize the number of person-hours thrown at debugging
and development, even at the possible cost of instability in the code and user-base
burnout if any serious bug proved intractable. Linus was behaving as though he believed
something like this:
8. Given a large enough beta-tester and co-developer base, almost every problem will be
characterized quickly and the fix obvious to someone.
Or, less formally, ``Given enough eyeballs, all bugs are shallow.'' I dub this: ``Linus's
Law''.
My original formulation was that every problem ``will be transparent to somebody''.
Linus demurred that the person who understands and fixes the problem is not necessarily
or even usually the person who first characterizes it. ``Somebody finds the problem,'' he
says, ``and somebody else understands it. And I'll go on record as saying that finding it is
the bigger challenge.'' That correction is important; we'll see how in the next section,
when we examine the practice of debugging in more detail. But the key point is that both
parts of the process (finding and fixing) tend to happen rapidly.
In Linus's Law, I think, lies the core difference underlying the cathedral-builder and
bazaar styles. In the cathedral-builder view of programming, bugs and development
problems are tricky, insidious, deep phenomena. It takes months of scrutiny by a
dedicated few to develop confidence that you've winkled them all out. Thus the long
release intervals, and the inevitable disappointment when long-awaited releases are not
perfect.
In the bazaar view, on the other hand, you assume that bugs are generally shallow
phenomena-or, at least, that they turn shallow pretty quickly when exposed to a thousand
eager co-developers pounding on every single new release. Accordingly you release often
in order to get more corrections, and as a beneficial side effect you have less to lose if an
occasional botch gets out the door.
And that's it. That's enough. If ``Linus's Law'' is false, then any system as complex as the
Linux kernel, being hacked over by as many hands as the that kernel was, should at some
point have collapsed under the weight of unforseen bad interactions and undiscovered
``deep'' bugs. If it's true, on the other hand, it is sufficient to explain Linux's relative lack
of bugginess and its continuous uptimes spanning months or even years.
Maybe it shouldn't have been such a surprise, at that. Sociologists years ago discovered
that the averaged opinion of a mass of equally expert (or equally ignorant) observers is
quite a bit more reliable a predictor than the opinion of a single randomly-chosen one of
the observers. They called this the Delphi effect. It appears that what Linus has shown is
that this applies even to debugging an operating system-that the Delphi effect can tame
development complexity even at the complexity level of an OS kernel. [CV]
One special feature of the Linux situation that clearly helps along the Delphi effect is the
fact that the contributors for any given project are self-selected. An early respondent
pointed out that contributions are received not from a random sample, but from people
who are interested enough to use the software, learn about how it works, attempt to find
solutions to problems they encounter, and actually produce an apparently reasonable fix.
Anyone who passes all these filters is highly likely to have something useful to
contribute.
Linus's Law can be rephrased as ``Debugging is parallelizable''. Although debugging
requires debuggers to communicate with some coordinating developer, it doesn't require
significant coordination between debuggers. Thus it doesn't fall prey to the same
quadratic complexity and management costs that make adding developers problematic.
In practice, the theoretical loss of efficiency
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